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A Covid_19 analysis, by model, of larger USA states with highest fatalities per capita

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A Covid_19 analysis, by model, of larger USA states with highest fatalities per capita Note: This modelling is an analytical tool & not assumption-based predictive type. Minimise assumptions & complexity. Let reality lead the model, not vice versa. Model is compartmental, with additions & mods. Data is used to tests the hypotheses modelled & find parameter values. @RuminatorDan

Media report UK deaths would be lower if lockdown had started earlier

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Media report UK deaths would be lower if lockdown had started earlier https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52995064 Media report UK deaths would be lower if lockdown had started earlier. Assuming fatality rate is high, prevalence low & lockdowns work, then outcome is v sensitive to timing & NF is right. But there are strong indications against this hypothesis. @RuminatorDan