Sweden & United Kingdom, SARS-CoV-2, an analysis & discussion
SWEDEN & UNITED KINGDOM, SARS-CoV-2,
AN ANALYSIS & DISCUSSION (v1.1): [originally published as a Twitter thread, 27 Aug 2020] Despite claims to the contrary the data are clear: The outcomes for both countries have been remarkably similar. This has happened in spite of the very different approaches taken. Several people suspected months ago (I began in March) that, although SARS-CoV-2 was serious, the overall damage was probably overestimated. This post from May forecasts similar outcomes to what we now see. from May 28,2020: Sample model fits to data for UK, Italy & Sweden attached. Modelling suggests that the population fatality rates at saturation are all similar. (Any errors my own.) Yet the narrative says Sweden has "failed". It is true that everyone made mistakes, e.g. care homes, & there have been differences between Sweden & other Scandinavian countries. However the overall outcome, as shown above, speaks for itself. Sweden & UK are very simila